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Demand for high-end pieces – especially large diamonds – helped many of the 2,186 exhibitors at Baselworld 2004 report their strongest show in four years. Exhibitors also noted that buyers came from all parts of the world, in contrast to 2003, when the severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS) outbreak and the war in Iraq kept many Asian and American buyers away.
The biggest news of the show, which ran from April 15 to 22, was big diamonds – 3 cts. to 50 cts. Demand for such stones was so high that several dealers noted privately that they raised prices a few percentage points on top-quality diamonds as the show progressed.
“We felt we could ask for more because buying was strong and Aber announced a 4% [rough] price increase one day after the show opened,” said one European dealer.
Several diamond dealers in the posh designers’ hall reported selling “significant” 20 ct.-plus colorless and yellow diamonds.
“Demand was up across the board – from every world market,” said Vartkess Knadjian of Antwerp diamond manufacturer Backes & Strauss. “The Far East has picked up nicely following the problems of last year,” he added, noting that many buyers who approached him at the show were other diamond dealers looking to bolster their inventories of top-quality goods.
Polished prices are “heading quickly northward,” Knadjian said, because “there’s a realization that there are fewer and fewer [high-quality] diamonds in the market.”
Richard Lewis, European sales manager for Israeli diamond manufacturer Schachter & Namdar, also noted that “competition for high color and clarity goods between one and three carats” was especially strong.
While many dealers welcomed the price increases after more than two years of stagnation and dwindling profits, some worried about “a whiff of speculation in the air” because the increases have come so rapidly.
"All this talk of shortages will disappear once goods reach a certain price,” said one American dealer who did not want to be identified.
The declining U.S. dollar is also pushing up prices for American and Hong Kong buyers (since the H.K. dollar is pegged to the U.S. dollar). However, because diamonds are traded in dollars, their cost in Europe and countries not on dollar-based currencies has actually fallen in some cases.
Those who believe that supply shortages are authentic point to the increasing numbers of Indian, Russian, and Chinese buyers at the show and to the growth potential in those markets. In addition, luxury watch brands such as Franck Muller and Cartier have been adding many more diamond lines.
“The watch companies are consuming a great deal of diamonds today,” noted Knadjian, who believes they are taking some business from jewelry manufacturers, especially in the top end of the women’s self-purchase market.
At the lower end, the sinking U.S. dollar and rising prices for small diamonds caused a number of manufacturers to use some ingenuity to keep prices within the range of mass merchandisers. Sun Jewels of Mumbai, for example, assembled one- and two-point diamonds in clusters of seven to replace ten pointers in finished jewelry pieces.
This way, said director Kapil Nevatia, “we do not have to resort to lowering the quality of the diamonds in our pieces.”
At the highest end, sales of colored diamonds – especially pinks and top-color yellows – were very strong.
“The best show we’ve had in five years,” said Shreyash Mehta of M. Vainer, London. “Hong Kong is strong, and even Japan is coming back into the colored diamond market.”
European demand for colored diamonds has been fueled by a recent flurry of news stories on the ₤1 million pink diamond that British soccer star David Beckham gave his wife Victoria (formerly Posh of the disbanded Spice Girls), said Mehta.
Prices for top-market pearls firmed after a strong Basel show, though some of those increases also can be chalked up to the weak U.S. dollar. Dealers believe that the Basel event heralds an end to the years-long slump in demand.
In South Sea cultured pearls, baroque shapes and unusual colors were popular at the show, said Pinella Autore of Australia Pearls, Sydney.
“Buyers were looking for something distinctive that their clients didn’t already have.”
Suppliers of Tahitian black cultured pearls say they have tried to absorb the premium in their currency (the Pacific franc) against the U.S. dollar to keep their products attractive to the U.S. market.
Martin Coeroli, general manager of Perles de Tahiti, French Polynesia , said demand for strands is rebounding on the strength of a revival of the 1950s “Grace Kelly/Audrey Hepburn” looks. Brown cultured pearls from Tahiti are also becoming popular, he said.
Demand for colored stones at Basel was mixed. Buyers sought untreated (with lab reports) rubies, sapphires, and emeralds at the top end, as well as significant pieces in branded jewelry. For the more fashion-oriented, pastels were definitely in.
“Buyers are looking for gemstones that normally are not treated, such as Mandarin garnet [the trade name for bright orange spessartine from Namibia] and peridot. Or they want goods where we can document their [untreated] origins,” said Alexander Wild of Wild & Petsch Lapidaries, Kirschweiler, Germany, referring to popularly priced stones that are rarely sent to labs.
The international pavilion, which last year had been relocated 60 miles away to a hall outside Zurich, was back near the main fair site this year. In addition, the Hong Kong exhibitors, who had been barred from the show altogether last year because of the SARS epidemic, returned with 333 exhibitors. This was nearly double the 2002 contingent.
Although traffic to the pavilion was fairly high, and the Hong Kong group had the prime spot in the building, not everyone was pleased.
B. K. Chow, president of the Hong Kong Jewellery Manufacturers Association, said the established companies generally did well, but the separate location (about a half-mile from the main fair halls) did limit traffic, resulting in slow sales for many of the newer exhibitors.
Exhibitors in the international hall complained of steep price increases for space over 2002, when they were still lodged in the main part of the fair.
“It cost more than 25% over 2002’s rates to be in this hall,” said Chow.
Companies in other national sections complained of a lack of signage to mark borders between them, and that every section except the Thailand exhibit looked alike.
Others, however, had praise for their experience in the new hall. Jacques Prades, of Gamma Creations, Thailand, said he was “surprised by the traffic. We’ve had Americans, Japanese, Europeans – everybody – come see us. Last year, we had only a couple of buyers through the entire show.”
Baselworld also hosted a number of seminars.
Diamond Trading Company
The De Beers Diamond Trading Company (DTC) event focused on marketing and branding, with top British retailer Michael Wainwright of Boodle & Dunthorne relating how sales tripled after his firm revamped its image, inventory, advertising, and stores. Dominique Assenat of Peclers, a Paris-based marketing consultant, explained that the concept of luxury was spreading to younger people, who tend to place greater emphasis on fashion, while Rosy Blue’s CEO Dilip Mehta announced that his company had just signed an agreement to produce a jewelry line for bridal fashion guru Vera Wang. Jonathan Kendall, DTC international and trade marketing group director, noted that more than 33% of the DTC goods sold at its sights are dedicated to programs that drive demand. Jonathan Pudney, DTC’s marketing director of brand communications, stressed that consumer confidence will be the key to future sales growth for diamond jewelry.
Challenges to that confidence include new synthetics and treatments, and conflict issues, he said, noting that “consumers now ask whether their diamonds are ethically produced, real, and sold at a fair price.”
Dominic Brand, DTC’s regional marketing director, noted that sales of three-stone jewelry have increased strongly in major markets including the U.S., Europe, and now, Japan, where it is a self-purchase item.
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A panel of industry leaders discusses GIA's diamond cut research project at GemFest Basel.
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GIA GemFest Basel
The annual GIA GemFest Basel started with Shane McClure, director of West Coast Identification Services for the GIA Gem Laboratory, reviewing the details of the Institute’s research into sapphires with unusual color zoning that have entered the market recently. After a great deal of scrutiny, GIA and other researchers concluded that these goods have been subjected only to standard heat treatment. He also reviewed identification features of synthetic diamonds produced by the chemical vapor deposition (CVD) process, and a new line of HPHT-grown synthetic diamonds from Chatham Created Gems.
Following McClure’s presentation, GIA Gem Laboratory Chief Executive Officer Tom Yonelunas and Vice President of Identification and Research Services Tom Moses introduced the latest findings in GIA’s diamond cut research project, which will ultimately be incorporated into a cut grade system. Diamond appearance, said Moses, is a “mosaic” of brightness, fire, and scintillation. Scintillation, in turn, is much more than “sparkle,” and includes “pattern,” which is the effect caused by light and dark areas from internal and external reflections. Yonelunas said a cut grade system would be based on these appearance factors, plus physical characteristics such as girdle thickness and weight-proportion ratios, and finish, polish, and symmetry.
In the panel discussion that followed, Rosy Blue CEO Dilip Mehta said that the GIA system acknowledges the fact that the term “excellent” cut means different things to consumers in different parts of the world.
Ephraim Zion, managing director of Dehres International, Hong Kong, said he “hopes the GIA system dispels the notion there is only one ideal cut.” For example, he said, “In Hong Kong, people want tables of 62% to 65%,” while others say 55% to 57% tables are the only ones that will get a high grade. “Regional preferences will remain, but the GIA system will strengthen consumer confidence that various proportions can look good and receive an excellent grade.”
Peggy Jo Donohue, editor-in-chief of Professional Jeweler, said that “educated retailers” will hail the new system because it offers the opportunity for them to “tell a story to their customers.”
Natural Colored Diamond Association
A new trade organization, the Natural Colored Diamond Association (NCDIA), held an in-show press conference. The purpose of NCDIA, said founding member Dilip Mehta, is to raise consumer awareness of natural colored diamonds.
Nigel Jones, general manager of marketing for Rio Tinto Mining, noted that $3 billion, or 7% of diamond jewelry sold last year by value, contained colored diamonds.
The NCDIA promoted colored diamonds at the recent Academy Awards ceremony. In addition, one major Japanese company, Kashikey, has begun a campaign promoting brown diamonds.
Auctions
Diamonds paced Christie’s April 19–20 Magnificent Jewels auction in New York. The sale brought in $20.35 million, 70% sold by lot, 78% by dollar amount.
“Diamond prices were exceptionally strong, with aggressive international private collectors and trade international buyers competing heavily in a market where important stones are extremely scarce,” said Simon Teakle, head of jewelry for Christie’s America. “London jeweler Laurence Graff bought a 51-ct. D-flawless diamond, which enabled him to match another stone from his inventory, making an exceptionally rare pair.”
However, that sale, held the day before the Sotheby’s April 21st Magnificent Jewelry auction in New York, seemed to have absorbed much of the dealers’ appetite and funds for large diamonds, as Sotheby’s results fell far short of rival Christie’s. It appears that the market, while strong, does have limits. Sotheby’s reported strong prices for top-name jewelry pieces (such as Cartier and Van Cleef & Arpels), but the significant diamonds failed to find bidders.
Russell Shor
Senior Industry Analyst
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